Following the January 6 events and subsequent impeachment proceedings in the House, betters on the political betting exchange PredictIt thought there was a decent chance of Trump being the first.
- Trump Impeachment Betting Site
- Trump Impeachment Betting Odds
- Current Odds On Trump Impeachment
- Trump Impeachment Betting Odds 2019
- Trump Impeachment Betting Odds Today
You have no doubt wondered if President Trump will be impeached and whether the odds are worth considering. If you’ve thought about betting Trump Impeachment is a good idea, I’m going to try to lay it out in a way that takes my over 10 years of political and media experience. I’ll also analyze current and trending odds at the best online sports books in the world. I’m not going to try to convince you whether President Trump will be removed from office or not, I know this. I do hope, however, this post will either help you make that final leap into the world of political betting, or make the decision to not, or at least not yet, risk you’re money betting on Trump’s “imminent” Impeachment.
I’ll start off with something you might not be expecting. I’m not sure I can recommend that you wager on a strict line of whether President Trump will be Impeached, unless you’re making a fairly conservative bet. If you are, continue to the analysis below. As I’ll explain below, you’ll win approximately $80 on a $100 bet ($180 total including your original wager). As a conservative bet, Trump Impeachment is not a bad option, but if you like to bet a little longer odds, you have other options.
- Place a Will the Senate convict Trump? Bet on USA - Trump Impeachment Trial with the Betfair™ Exchange. Best Online Betting Exchange For Politics Bet Live In-Play Cash Out.
- When looking at the various Trump impeachment odds available, the one prop that I believe is offering some betting value is “How many senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by April 29?” with 55 or 56 coming in as the favorite at +180.
Right Now at Bovada (as of August 24th, 2017) they have several proposition that offer better odds than a straight Impeachment card. For instance, if you’re looking for a long shot, they’re offering +300 odds for whether or not Donald Trump will be convicted by the Senate in his 1st term. That means if you wager $100 that he’ll be convicted by The Senate, you’ll win $300, plus you’ll get your original wager back if you win. You can also wager on whether or not the 25th Amendment (Section 4) will invoked in President Trump’s 1st term.
At BetOnline.ag, they’ve got an entirely different set of propositions for you to wager. Their biggest long shot is the question as to whether the @officialDonaldTrump twitter handle will be suspended 2017. You can also bet on whether Donald Trump will be President on January 1st 2018. Think he won’t be in the Oval Office on 1/1/2018? Wager $100, you’ll win $500 plus your $100 wager back if you’re right.
Intertops aren’t betting Trump impeachment is worth their odds.Right now at Intertops, the only political bet proposition they have is Who will bet elected President in 2020. Some of the more humorous names are Kanye West and Chelsea Clinton, and more serious bets like the current President Trump (+200) and Senator Elizabeth Warren (+1000). Think Warren will be elected the first female P.O.T.U.S. in 2020 and you’re right, you’ll bring home $1100 (including the original wager) for every $100 you bet.
Click The image to get the latest Props for Intertops
As you can see, you can get pretty complex with political betting, which makes for some interesting propositions at the betting houses. If you’re looking to have a little fun and aren’t interested in a 500% return on your wager, you can continue towards betting Trump Impeachment on Bovada and BetOnline.ag. If you’re looking for some more fun options, that may be more risky, but are intrigued by the reward you have lots of options. Join one or all of these sites, and figure out which proposition is best for you.
If, however you’re dead set on betting if Donald Trump will be impeached, here’s my analysis.
I’m going to lay out my analysis on Betting Trump Impeachment in 3 sections. They are, in order;
- The Case For President Trump’s Impeachment
- The Case Against Trump’s Removal From Office
- The Safest Places To Bet On Trump’s Impeachment
The Case For Betting Trump Impeachment
The odds are trending in the wrong direction if you are interested in betting Trump Impeachment will be indicted by The House Of Representatives. Bovada is listing current odds at -120 (as of 8/23/2017.) This means if you bet $100 that Trump will be impeached, you’ll win $83.33. Thath is not a bad profit margin (you’d also get your original $100 back for a total pocket of $183.33. If you like these odds, I would tell you to act now. If you think impeachment is going to become more and more likely, your potential profit is going to go down. If the odds get down around -200, you’d only be looking at a $50 profit with that same $100 wager.
There are many of the opinion that President Trump would never back down from a fight. If impeachment proceedings started, he’d use the bully pulpit to draw his base into action, calling their Representative, threatening primarying anyone who voted for impeachment. He could not present any evidence (directly at least) in his favor at this stage, so if he decided to fight a likely trial, there wouldn’t be any reason for him to go “nuclear” at this point. Remember, if the proposition is impeachment (or impeachment by the house, etc), it doesn’t mean that he’s necessarily being removed from office.
Trump might even welcome Impeachment. Trump talks about how the media, and “deep state” are out to get him. If he was impeached, he’d have 30% or more of the people willing to follow him where-ever he goes. Whether that’s remaining in the White House, and winning a second term, or to Trump TV, in whatever that name and form might be. The Betting Trump Impeachment can be complicated. Let’s look at the alternative outcome.
The Case Against President Trump’s Indictment By The House
The people who don’t like President Trump is becoming more vociferous. Of course that doesn’t mean that at a 56% percent disapproval rate means that nearly 60% of Americans want President removed from office. 2/3 of The Senate has to convict a President before he’s removed from office. However actual impeachment only requires a majority vote. We’re strictly talking about the House Impeachment, which only needs a simple majority to indict.
The Republican Party holds a 240 to 194 (with 1 vacancy), so the proverbial mess is going to have to really hit the fan before 24 Republicans are going to jump ship Mixed metaphors aside, we’re talking the kind of damage a Russian Collusion case for this to happen. Sure the odds of this happening are higher than in any other Administration in our nation’s history, but I’m not sure what they are, and it would be a long shot for sure.
It doesn’t matter what I think in the end. If you’re into politics, and have a rational basis on which position you’ve come to, by all means ignore my analysis. I always recommend being a student of politics, more than someone who’s more ideologically driven. I’m not, by any means, saying you shouldn’t be ideological and if you can separate the two, you might be fine. I’d just recommend that you gather a lot of information from a lot of sources, and have a realistic view of what might happen. If you came here with your mind set on betting Trump Impeachment, I won’t change your mind and that’s fine. If you’re betting Trump impeachment (for or against), here’s our rundown on some great political betting sites.
The Best And Safest Places To Place Political Bets
We recommend 3 websites that allow Political Wagers and are open to U.S. players. Bovada, BetOnline.ag and Intertops are all 3 well established sites that have years of prompt payouts and a willingness to solve issues.
Bovada is our most recommended website for political betting. They generally offer a wider propositions than other sites, and they are 100% safe and legitimate.
BetOnline.ag is another great online casino that offers political betting, and is a 100% legitimate and save site to wager on. They don’t offer as wide a choice as Bovada, however, their props are different , and you might find they better fit what you’re looking for
Intertops is another top-shelf sports book that offers political betting. They offer more political betting props than BetOnline.ag, but not as much as Bovada. They are, as all the sites we recommend, 100% safe and legitimate
All three are legitimately run businesses that have a dedicated customer service team and a history of being above-board and honest. Considering you won’t go wrong with any of these guys, I’d tell you to find the sportsbook that offers the best propositions that you think can win.
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Every US President faces talk of impeachment at some point during their term(s) in office, but impeachment betting odds are usually reserved for when there is a serious Congressional push to launch an inquiry or bring charges against a sitting head of state.
Of course, when that happens, impeachment odds become the most popular and sought-after betting lines at legal online sportsbooks, and that’s been the case in 2019 as Donald Trump faces down serious allegations of impeachable offenses.
Still, because impeachment is an intensely political process with ramifications on both sides of the aisle and with the public at large (no matter which way the proceedings go), bettors are often extremely tempered in their analysis of whether or not a President will be impeached. That said, as with all legal political betting, there is much to be gleaned about a President’s impeachment chances by looking to the odds boards.
Is It Legal To Bet On Presidential Impeachment Odds?
It is largely considered to be legal to wager on Presidential impeachment odds if you use an offshore betting site to do so. Despite the growing number of US-regulated online and brick-and-mortar sportsbooks popping up across the country, you will not find political betting odds at these locations.
This is because most state governments either disallow or discourage sportsbooks from offering election odds. Fortunately, political betting has always been popular at offshore sites, and those remain the only places to find odds on politics and government-related issues.
Important note: In two US states – Connecticut and Washington – there are laws on the books that ban online betting of any kind. That said, these laws are considered unenforceable, and neither state has ever arrested or fined any resident for gambling over the Internet. Still, if you live in CT or WA, we advise you to follow local and all federal betting laws and only bet online at your own risk.
Trump Impeachment Betting Site
Best Sportsbooks Offering Impeachment Betting Lines
| Site Name | Current Bonus | U.S. | Visit Site |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% Max $250 | Visit Site Review | ||
| 2 | 50% Max $1,000 | Visit Site Review | |
| 3 | 50% Max $1,000 | Visit Site Review | |
| 4 | 100% Max $500 | Visit Site Review |
Betting On Donald Trump's Impeachment Odds
Typically, you can bet on Donald Trump’s impeachment odds at any reputable offshore sports betting site, but there are no betting lines posted for his impeachment chances at the moment. That is largely due to the forthcoming 2020 Presidential election, where Democratic Party leaders are hopeful that US voters will oust Trump and alleviate the need for them to begin the impeachment process again.
Our political prop bets guide is a good tool for exploring prop bets such as impeachment odds, and other factors surrounding the 2020 Presidential election. This prob bet tutorial will properly prepare bettors for when impeachment odds eventually reappear at political sportsbooks.
Current Odds for Donald Trump to be Impeached Again
There are no current odds for Donald Trump being impeached at major offshore legal sports betting sites because of the upcoming Presidential election in November. Democrats, and even some Republicans, like US Senator Mitt Romney, are hopeful that Joe Biden will win the Presidency and alleviate the need for impeachment hearings to begin again.
Will Donald Trump be impeached again? If he wins his reelection bid in 2020, he almost certainly will face impeachment hearings in the US House. If and when that happens, top political sportsbooks will produce odds that will allow bettors to wager the outcome.
Will Biden complete first term as U.S. President?
Trump Impeachment Betting Odds
- Yes -165
- No +125
Will New Articles Of Impeachment Be Filed
- Before Jan 20, 2021 - Yes -220
- Before Jan 20, 2021 - No +155
What Is a Presidential Impeachment?
Impeachment is a largely misunderstood concept. Many people think that impeachment means that a President will be removed from office, but that’s actually never happened. Impeachment is a legal accusation of criminal malfeasance, and it is purely a political process. An analogy to Presidential impeachment is, for private citizens, a criminal or civil charge in a court of law. And like every person in America, once impeached, the President gets due process before removal can ever happen.
Current Odds On Trump Impeachment
Throughout all of US history, only two Presidents have ever been impeached: Bill Clinton (1998-1999) and Andrew Johnson (1868). Richard Nixon was set to face impeachment in 1974, but he resigned the Presidency before any charges were brought.
How Does the Impeachment Process Work?
The Presidential impeachment process is simple enough, and it includes the following fundamental procedural steps:
- The US House of Representatives opens an impeachment inquiry against a sitting President after reports or evidence that said President has committed an illegal action that falls under the umbrella of “Treason, Bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.”
- The US House takes a vote on whether or not to bring Articles of Impeachment against the President. A simple majority is required to officially bring such charges.
- Once the Articles of Impeachment are passed, the US Senate takes over, conducting a trial of the President. This trial is overseen by the Chief Justice of the US Supreme Court.
- If the President is found guilty via a two-thirds supermajority vote in the Senate, he or she is immediately removed from office.
- The Vice President then becomes the President of the United States.
- If the VP is also impeached, the House Speaker would become President.
Trump Impeachment Betting Odds 2019
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