The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) look to end their season on a high note when they meet the Michigan Wolverines (9-3) in the Citrus Bowl in Orlando at 1 p.m. ET New Year’s Day (on ABC). We analyze the Alabama-Michigan odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Alabama vs. Michigan: Three things you need to know

1. Both teams have been solid on hitting the Over. Michigan is 9-3 O/U on the season, while Alabama is 7-5 despite some incredibly high O/U lines where the Crimson Tide had to supply most of the points.

2 days ago  Michigan is 54 th in the country in points per game at 77.1 and 58 th in points allowed at 65.0. The Wolverines are an outstanding shooting team, 11 th in three-point shooting at 39.0% in 19 overall at 49.1%. Michigan is averaging 35.7 rebounds per game, 39 th overall. Michigan is led by Hunter Dickinson at 14.4 points and 7.8 rebounds per contest. Live betting odds for Michigan Wolverines vs Alabama Crimson Tide - Wednesday, January 1, 2020 at Camping World Stadium on Wednesday, January 01, 2020. Up to date offshore betting odds of over 30.

2. Alabama is 6-1 both on the moneyline and against the spread in its last seven meetings with Big Ten schools.

3. When the Wolverines are expected to lose, they do so with alarming frequency. Michigan has lost its last 16 games against the moneyline when playing as an underdog.

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Alabama vs. Michigan: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:40 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Alabama 42, Michigan 27

Moneyline (ML)

Alabama (-250) is a prohibitive favorite despite a slew of injuries on both sides of the ball. But, Michigan (+200) has a history of coming up short against elite opponents – HC Jim Harbaugh has yet to post a win against Ohio State in his tenure at Michigan. The 2:1 return is tempting, but the Wolverines are going to need too many things to go right for them and wrong for ‘Bama. If you must make a bet here, take insurance with Alabama, but I suggest PASSING and focusing on the spread and Over/Under.

Against the Spread (ATS)

This one has been over 7 points, but, currently BetMGM has Alabama a 6.5-point favorite (-125) over Michigan (+105). As would be expected, the payback is better for Michigan, but that’s because the sportsbooks want more action going the Wolverines’ way. I wouldn’t have been shocked to see the spread closer to 10 than less than seven, so this one screams, “TAKE ALABAMA!” because the game comes down to the wire close. Alabama could struggle and still hit the spread at the end.

Over/Under (O/U)

The O/U is high at 57.5 points (-115 Over, -106 Under), but history is on the side of the Over. In its last eight games against SEC schools, Michigan has hit the Over. ‘Bama has a penchant for getting in high-scoring games against good teams – its losses were 46-41 to LSU and 48-45 to Auburn. Michigan’s offense grew increasingly better from what it showed in September. All that needs to happen for the Over to hit is that one team gets up double digits in the first half, preferably the first quarter. Then it’s on. It could set a tone that should leave 57.5 points in the rear-view mirror midway through the fourth. Take the OVER.

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Citrus Bowl Total Prediction

Will we see a shootout when No. 13 Alabama and No. 14 Michigan collide in the VRBO Citrus Bowl on Wednesday at 1PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

VRBO Citrus Bowl

263 Michigan vs. 264 Alabama

Wednesday, January 1, 2019

1PM ET – Camping World Stadium

TV: ABC

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Alabama is favored in this game, as the Crimson Tide are getting odds of -7 points against Michigan. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 58 points The public betting currently has 84 percent going on Alabama as the favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Wolverines beat up by Ohio State

Michigan had built some momentum toward the end of the 2019 season, but the Wolverines were still dominated by Ohio State at home, 56-27. Michigan is 9-3 on the season, 7-5 against the spread and 9-3 with the over.

The Wolverines have been a solid defense this season, allowing just 19.5 points and 293.9 yards per game. Josh Uche is leading the defense with 34 tackles and 8.5 sacks. Offensively, Michigan is putting up 33.0 points and 402.7 yards per contest. Shea Pattersonhas led U-M this season by throwing for 2,828 yards and 22 touchdowns. Nico Collins is his top receiver. He caught 33 passes for 681 yards and seven touchdowns. Zach Charbonnet is the top rusher with 642 yards and 11 touchdowns.

Bama falls to rivals

Alabama had a down year by its standards, suffering a pair of losses to LSU and Auburn this season. However, the two losses were by a combined eight points. Bama is 10-2 on the season, 6-6 against the spread and 7-5 with the over.

The Crimson Tide are one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. Bama is averaging 48.3 points and 513.5 yards per game. Defensively, Alabama hasn’t been as dominant as usual, but still allows just 18.8 points and 318.8 yards per game. The Tide lost Tua Tagovailoa to a hip injury. He had thrown for 2,840 yards and 33 touchdowns this year. Mac Joneshas proven to be a capable fill-in. He has thrown for 1,176 yards and 11 touchdowns in his place. DeVonta Smith is the team’s leading receiver with 65 catches for 1,200 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Najee Harris is the top rusher with 1,088 yards and 11 scores. Anfernee Jennings is leading the defense with 73 tackles and 7.5 sacks.

College Football Betting Trends

Michigan

Michigan has hit the over in four straight bowl games and in eight straight against SEC opponents.

Alabama

The Tide are 7-1 with the over in their last eight bowl games and 21-7-2 with the over in their last 30 games on a neutral field.

Prediction:

Mich Vs Alabama Spread

I am surprised to see the total just at 58 for this game because I feel like this matchup should be similar to Michigan vs. Ohio State. While the Wolverines have a good defense, we saw what an explosive offense can do to it when Ohio State put up 56 on them in Ann Arbor. The Tide still have that explosiveness on offense, even with Jones at QB. Michigan has wilted defensively against these types of teams. Alabama also isn’t quite the strong defense we usually see. I think Michigan will be forced into a passing attack early due to falling behind. The Wolverines should have some success there and put up enough points to help the over hit.

Michigan Vs Michigan State Odds

Citrus Bowl Prediction: Michigan/Alabama Over 58